(For all of the statistical details, read the original article here.)
Each game is analyzed with performance-metrics calculated as a ratio of actual performance versus opponent season average, expressed as a percentage. Basic statistical analysis is used. When looking at the data using this statistical approach, what do we see?
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS
MIN rush offense (No. 27) 207.9 yd/gm versus average opponent rush defense of 180.9 yd/gm
MSU rush defense (No. 1) 59.4 yd/gm versus average opponent rush offense of 153.3 yd/gm
Prediction: Minnesota 75 yards rushing (+14/-29 yards)
MIN pass offense (No. 115) 143.4 yd/gm versus average opponent pass defense of 217.6 yd/gm
MSU pass defense (No. 8) 177.3 yd/gm versus average opponent pass offense of 225.1 yd/gm
Prediction: Minnesota 115 yards passing (+38/-39 yards)
MIN scoring offense (No. 69) 28.5 yd/gm versus average opponent scoring defense of 28.4 pt/gm
MSU scoring defense (No. 4) 12.5 pt/gm versus average opponent scoring offense of 26.4 pt/gm
Prediction: Minnesota 12 points (+5/-5 points)
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
MSU rush offense (No. 46) 186.6 yd/gm versus average opponent rush defense of 181.6 yd/gm
MIN rush defense (No. 48) 151.5 yd/gm versus average opponent rush offense of 182.2 yd/gm
Prediction: Michigan State 157 yards rushing (+42/-36 yards)
MSU pass offense (No. 90) 198.6 yd/gm versus average opponent pass defense of 222.5 yd/gm
MIN pass defense (No. 54) 224.1 yd/gm versus average opponent pass offense of 236.6 yd/gm
Prediction: Michigan State 192 yards passing (+31/-46 yards)
MSU scoring offense (No. 56) 30.8 yd/gm versus average opponent scoring defense of 29.0 pt/gm
MIN scoring defense (No. 37) 23.1 pt/gm versus average opponent scoring offense of 29.3 pt/gm
Prediction: Michigan State 25 points (+7/-9 points)
High/Low Ranges
MSU 32, MIN 7
MIN 17, MSU 16
Statistical Bottom-Line Prediction
MIN 12 at MSU 25
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