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Friday, December 11, 2015

MICROSCOPE ON DREW SHARP: OKLAHOMA vs MICHIGAN STATE SCHEDULE STRENGTH

Drew Sharp claimed that Oklahoma had "a stronger schedule" than Michigan State, but we showed otherwise in this article posted yesterday. However, I am not done with this comparison.


Oklahoma scored 60 or more points in two of their 12 games.

  • 63 vs. 7-5 Texas Tech. Texas Tech, not including the OK game, allowed 40.7 points per game.
  • 62 vs. 0-12 Kansas. Kansas, not including the OK game, allowed 44.7 points per game.


OU had six games where they scored 50 (but less than 60) points.

  • Six of OU's opponents allowed an average of 30 or more points scored against them over the season.
  • Two opponents allowed 40 or more.


MSU scored 50 or more points in two of 13 games.

  • 55 vs. 7-5 PSU. PSU allowed 18.7 ppg, not counting the MSU game.
  • 52 vs. 6-6 IU. Indiana allowed 35.7 ppg, not counting the MSU game.


MSU had six games where they scored 30 (but less than 50)  points.

  • 5 of MSU's opponents allowed an average of 30 or more points scored against them over the season.


The point is, looking at just the offense does not paint a complete picture. Back to strength of schedule:

  • Aggregate scores of all teams played by OU's opponents:  33.5 - 30.8
  • Excluding the "vs OU" games:  34.7 - 29.4


  • Aggregate scores of all teams played by MSU's opponents:  31.2 - 27.1
  • Excluding the "vs MSU" games:  32.2 - 26.6

  • OU's opponents average MoV was 2.7 ppg.
  • MSU's opponents average MoV was 4.1 ppg.

Without the OU & MSU games, OU's opponents average MoV was 5.3 ppg versus MSU's opponents average MoV of 5.6 ppg. While Oklahoma scored a lot of points in a lot of games, and often impressively, that does not make their strength-of-schedule "much stronger", as stated this week by Sharp.

The season results indicate the Michigan State opponents were slightly stronger in defense and the victory margins between the OU and MSU opponent seasons is nearly even.

The debate is not whether the Sooners are the better team or the Spartans, but rather that Oklahoma as stated by Drew Sharp had a "much stronger" S-O-S.

The data proves Sharp to be an idiot time and again.





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